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Atlas de vulnerabilidad hídrica en México ante el cambio climático
Cuadro 2.2. Proyecciones de cambio de precipitación, temperatura máxima y temperatura mínima por entidad federativa bajo los tres escenarios de radiación en primavera-verano (marzo - agosto) y otoño-invierno (septiembre-febrero) para el periodo lejano
2075-2099.
Entidad Federativa
Precipitación [%]
Temperatura Máxima [°C]
Temperatura Mínima [°C]
Primavera-Verano
Otoño-Invierno
Primavera-Verano
Otoño-Invierno
Primavera-Verano
Otoño-Invierno
RCP 4.5 RCP 6.0 RCP 8.5 RCP 4.5 RCP 6.0 RCP 8.5 RCP 4.5 RCP 6.0 RCP 8.5 RCP 4.5 RCP 6.0 RCP 8.5 RCP 4.5 RCP 6.0 RCP 8.5 RCP 4.5 RCP 6.0 RCP 8.5
Aguascalientes
-3.6
-2.7
-9.3
-5.6
-1.6
-6.3
3.2
3.5
5.6
2.8
2.8
5.2
2.5
2.9
4.8
2.0
2.9
4.0
Baja California
-7.8 -11.7 -11.2 -17.2
-25.5 -19.4
2.4
2.7
3.9
2.7
3.2
4.4
2.3
2.8
4.1
2.7
3.3
4.7
Baja California Sur
-8.5 -10.2
-9.5 -15.9
-25.3 -21.3
2.1
2.5
3.6
2.3
2.6
4.0
1.9
2.4
3.3
2.2
2.7
3.9
Campeche
-7.9
-9.5 -15.2
-2.2
-1.1
-3.7
2.6
3.1
4.4
2.2
2.7
4.0
2.2
2.6
4.0
1.9
2.5
3.4
Coahuila
-5.8
-7.5 -10.5
-6.9
-6.2
-9.7
3.3
4.4
5.4
2.8
3.4
5.0
2.8
3.6
4.8
2.3
3.0
4.3
Colima
-7.0
-6.5 -11.4
-3.7
-6.6
-5.5
2.6
2.8
4.6
2.4
2.4
4.2
2.2
2.7
4.0
2.0
2.4
3.5
Chiapas
-6.4
-6.2 -10.6
0.2
2.4
0.6
2.7
3.1
4.8
2.3
2.6
4.2
2.3
2.9
4.0
2.0
2.6
3.6
Chihuahua
-4.2
-7.5
-8.5
-8.2
-7.1 -10.2
3.3
4.4
5.4
3.2
3.8
5.5
2.8
3.4
4.9
2.4
3.1
4.4
Distrito Federal
-7.7
-7.6 -13.8
-2.0
1.8
-2.6
2.9
3.6
5.2
2.4
3.0
4.3
2.2
2.9
4.0
1.9
2.4
3.5
Durango
-3.5
-5.7
-7.5
-7.0
-4.9
-8.7
3.2
4.1
5.5
3.0
3.3
5.3
2.7
3.2
4.8
2.2
3.0
4.2
Guanajuato
-4.6
-4.3 -11.5
-3.3
0.2
-3.3
3.1
3.6
5.3
2.6
2.9
4.6
2.3
2.8
4.4
2.1
2.8
4.0
Guerrero
-6.7
-6.5 -12.5
-0.8
1.4
0.2
2.9
3.3
4.8
2.4
2.8
4.1
2.3
2.8
4.1
2.1
2.6
3.8
Hidalgo
-6.4
-5.9 -12.7
-2.3
0.5
-3.4
2.9
3.5
5.3
2.5
2.9
4.5
2.2
2.8
3.9
1.9
2.4
3.5
Jalisco
-5.6
-5.4 -11.5
-4.3
-4.0
-6.0
2.9
3.1
5.2
2.5
2.6
4.7
2.4
2.9
4.4
1.9
2.6
3.6
México
-6.7
-6.1 -13.1
-2.0
1.5
-2.2
2.9
3.6
5.2
2.5
2.9
4.4
2.3
2.8
4.0
2.0
2.5
3.6
Michoacán
-4.8
-4.5 -11.6
-2.5
0.1
-2.0
2.9
3.3
5.0
2.5
2.7
4.3
2.3
2.8
4.3
2.0
2.6
3.8
Morelos
-7.2
-7.9 -13.2
-1.9
1.6
-1.5
3.2
3.8
5.4
2.6
3.1
4.4
2.3
2.8
4.1
2.1
2.5
3.8
Nayarit
-4.0
-6.3
-8.4
-4.1
-4.9
-4.6
2.7
2.8
5.0
2.5
2.5
4.5
2.4
2.9
4.3
2.1
2.5
3.8
Nuevo León
-7.5
-7.5 -12.9
-5.0
-4.7
-7.9
3.1
4.0
5.3
2.5
3.0
4.7
2.6
3.4
4.5
2.2
2.8
4.1
Oaxaca
-7.6
-7.4 -13.6
-0.4
2.4
0.2
2.6
3.1
4.7
2.2
2.6
4.0
2.3
2.8
4.0
2.0
2.4
3.5
Puebla
-7.3
-8.0 -12.7
-1.4
1.4
-2.1
2.9
3.6
5.2
2.5
2.9
4.4
2.2
2.8
4.0
1.9
2.5
3.6
Querétaro
-5.7
-4.7 -12.7
-2.8
0.7
-3.5
3.0
3.6
5.5
2.6
2.9
4.7
2.3
2.8
4.3
2.0
2.7
3.8
Quintana Roo
-6.5
-5.6 -14.1
-0.5
0.3
-3.8
2.2
2.5
3.7
2.0
2.4
3.5
2.0
2.4
3.5
1.7
2.2
3.1
San Luis Potosí
-5.6
-6.1 -11.7
-3.7
-1.2
-5.1
3.1
3.7
5.4
2.6
2.9
4.8
2.5
2.9
4.4
2.1
2.7
3.9
Sinaloa
-5.2
-7.4
-9.5
-5.9
-11.5
-6.7
2.8
3.2
4.9
2.6
2.8
4.6
2.4
2.8
4.2
2.2
2.7
4.0
Sonora
-8.7 -12.4 -16.9 -10.6
-13.0 -10.6
3.1
3.8
5.2
3.2
3.7
5.3
2.7
3.1
4.5
2.6
3.1
4.5
Tabasco
-6.8
-9.1 -12.7
-1.5
-0.5
-3.2
2.9
3.4
4.8
2.4
2.8
4.3
2.2
2.6
4.0
1.9
2.4
3.4
Tamaulipas
-7.9
-8.5 -13.4
-5.0
-5.0
-7.7
3.0
3.6
5.2
2.4
2.8
4.5
2.4
3.0
4.2
2.1
2.7
3.9
Tlaxcala
-7.8
-7.8 -12.8
-0.9
2.6
-1.9
2.9
3.5
5.2
2.5
2.9
4.4
2.2
2.8
3.9
1.9
2.4
3.6
Veracruz
-7.4
-8.5 -12.2
-2.1
1.1
-2.5
2.9
3.5
5.2
2.5
2.8
4.3
2.2
2.8
3.9
1.9
2.4
3.5
Yucatán
-7.7
-7.7 -16.9
-1.0
0.0
-4.1
2.2
2.6
3.8
2.0
2.4
3.5
2.0
2.5
3.6
1.7
2.2
3.2
Zacatecas
-4.0
-4.7
-9.7
-5.6
-2.9
-6.7
3.2
3.6
5.7
2.8
2.8
5.2
2.6
3.1
4.8
2.1
3.1
4.0
